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2020

Behavior-based scenario discovery using time series clustering

Steinmann, P., Auping, W. L. & Kwakkel, J. H., 2020, In : Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 156, 9 p., 120052.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

1 Citation (Scopus)

Efficient or Fair? Operationalizing Ethical Principles in Flood Risk Management: A Case Study on the Dutch-German Rhine

Ciullo, A., Kwakkel, J. H., De Bruijn, K. M., Doorn, N. & Klijn, F., 2020, In : Risk Analysis. 40, 9, p. 1844-1862 19 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Open Access
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1 Citation (Scopus)
7 Downloads (Pure)

Impact of Scenario Selection on Robustness

McPhail, C., Maier, H. R., Westra, S., Kwakkel, J. H. & van der Linden, L., 2020, In : Water Resources Research. 56, 9, e2019WR026515.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Open Access
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30 Downloads (Pure)

Polder pumping-station for the future: designing and retrofitting infrastructure systems under structural uncertainty

Timmermans, J., van Druten, E., Wauben, M. & Kwakkel, J., 2020, In : Sustainable and Resilient Infrastructure.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Open Access
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5 Downloads (Pure)
2019

Accounting for the uncertain effects of hydraulic interactions in optimising embankments heights: Proof of principle for the IJssel River

Ciullo, A., de Bruijn, K. M., Kwakkel, J. H. & Klijn, F., 2019, In : Journal of Flood Risk Management. 12, 15 p., e12532.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Open Access
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5 Citations (Scopus)
67 Downloads (Pure)

A coupled simulation architecture for agent-based/geohydrological modelling with NetLogo and MODFLOW

Jaxa-Rozen, M., Kwakkel, J. H. & Bloemendal, M., 2019, In : Environmental Modelling and Software. 115, p. 19-37 19 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

4 Citations (Scopus)

Aquifer Thermal Energy Storage (ATES) smart grids: Large-scale seasonal energy storage as a distributed energy management solution

Rostampour, V., Jaxa-Rozen, M., Bloemendal, M., Kwakkel, J. & Keviczky, T., 2019, In : Applied Energy. 242, p. 624-639

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

7 Citations (Scopus)

Assessing the capacity of adaptive policy pathways to adapt on time by mapping trigger values to their outcomes

Raso, L., Kwakkel, J. & Timmermans, J., 2 Mar 2019, In : Sustainability (Switzerland). 11, 6, 1716.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Open Access
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1 Citation (Scopus)
70 Downloads (Pure)

How to evaluate a monitoring system for adaptive policies: criteria for signposts selection and their model-based evaluation

Raso, L., Kwakkel, J., Timmermans, J. & Panthou, G., Mar 2019, In : Climatic Change. 153, 1-2, p. 267-283 17 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Open Access
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5 Citations (Scopus)
7 Downloads (Pure)

Modeling with stakeholders for transformative change

van Bruggen, A., Nikolic, I. & Kwakkel, J., 5 Feb 2019, In : Sustainability (Switzerland). 11, 3, 825.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Open Access
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7 Citations (Scopus)
103 Downloads (Pure)

Systemic flood risk management: The challenge of accounting for hydraulic interactions

Ciullo, A., De Bruijn, K. M., Kwakkel, J. H. & Klijn, F., Dec 2019, In : Water (Switzerland). 11, 12, 2530.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Open Access
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3 Citations (Scopus)
14 Downloads (Pure)

Transport network criticality metrics: a comparative analysis and a guideline for selection

Jafino, B. A., Kwakkel, J. & Verbraeck, A., 2019, In : Transport Reviews. 40, 2

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Open Access
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56 Downloads (Pure)

What are the merits of endogenising land-use change dynamics into model-based climate adaptation planning?

Jafino, B. A., Kwakkel, J. & Haasnoot, M., 13 Feb 2019, In : Socio-Environmental Systems Modelling. 1

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Open Access
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41 Downloads (Pure)
2018

Comment on "From Data to Decisions: Processing Information, Biases, and Beliefs for Improved Management of Natural Resources and Environments" by Glynn et al.

Walker, W., Marchau, V., Bloemen, P., Lawrence, J., Lempert, R. & Kwakkel, J., 1 Jan 2018, In : Earth's Future. p. 1-5 5 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Open Access
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4 Citations (Scopus)
18 Downloads (Pure)

Evaluation of flood risk reduction strategies through combinations of interventions

van Berchum, E., Mobley, W., Jonkman, S. N., Timmermans, J., Kwakkel, J. & Brody, S. D., Oct 2018, In : Journal of Flood Risk Management. 17 p., 12506.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Open Access
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4 Citations (Scopus)
78 Downloads (Pure)

Including robustness considerations in the search phase of Many-Objective Robust Decision Making

Eker, S. & Kwakkel, J. H., 1 Jul 2018, In : Environmental Modelling and Software. 105, p. 201-216 16 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Open Access
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16 Citations (Scopus)
4 Downloads (Pure)

Pynetlogo: Linking netlogo with python

Jaxa-Rozen, M. & Kwakkel, J. H., 31 Mar 2018, In : Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation. 21, 2, p. 1-14 14 p., 4.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Open Access
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5 Citations (Scopus)
81 Downloads (Pure)

Robustness Metrics: How Are They Calculated, When Should They Be Used and Why Do They Give Different Results?

McPhail, C., Maier, H. R., Kwakkel, J. H., Giuliani, M., Castelletti, A. & Westra, S., 1 Feb 2018, In : Earth's Future. 6, 2, p. 169-191 23 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Open Access
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42 Citations (Scopus)
52 Downloads (Pure)

Tree-based ensemble methods for sensitivity analysis of environmental models: A performance comparison with Sobol and Morris techniques

Jaxa-Rozen, M. & Kwakkel, J., 1 Sep 2018, In : Environmental Modelling and Software. 107, p. 245-266 22 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Open Access
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11 Citations (Scopus)
3 Downloads (Pure)
2017

Designing monitoring arrangements for collaborative learning about adaptation pathways

Hermans, L. M., Haasnoot, M., ter Maat, J. & Kwakkel, J. H., 1 Mar 2017, In : Environmental Science & Policy. 69, p. 29-38 10 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Open Access
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27 Citations (Scopus)
22 Downloads (Pure)

Narrative-informed exploratory analysis of energy transition pathways: A case study of India's electricity sector

Moallemi, E. A., de Haan, F., Kwakkel, J. & Aye, L., 1 Nov 2017, In : Energy Policy. 110, p. 271-287 17 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

21 Citations (Scopus)

Technological Frontiers and Embeddings: A Visualization Approach

Cunningham, S. W., Kwakkel, J. H. & Oruç, S., 1 Apr 2017, In : International Journal of Innovation and Technology Management. 14, 2, 1740009.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Open Access
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48 Citations (Scopus)
347 Downloads (Pure)
2016

An uncertain future, deep uncertainty, scenarios, robustness and adaptation: How do they fit together?

Maier, H. R., Guillaume, J. H. A., van Delden, H., Riddell, G. A., Haasnoot, M. & Kwakkel, J. H., 1 Jul 2016, In : Environmental Modelling & Software. 81, p. 154-164 11 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

142 Citations (Scopus)

A scenario discovery study of the impact of uncertainties in the global container transport system on European ports

Halim, R. A., Kwakkel, J. H. & Tavasszy, L. A., 1 Aug 2016, In : Futures: the journal of policy, planning and futures studies. 81, p. 148-160 13 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Open Access
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19 Citations (Scopus)
34 Downloads (Pure)

A strategic model of port-hinterland freight distribution networks

Halim, R., Kwakkel, J. & Tavasszy, L., 2016, In : Transportation Research. Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review. 95, p. 368–384

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

16 Citations (Scopus)

Big data kwaliteit voor beleid

Translated title of the contribution: Big-data quality for policyKwakkel, J. & Verbraeck, A., 2016, In : Bestuurskunde. 25, 1

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Comparing Robust Decision-Making and Dynamic Adaptive Policy Pathways for model-based decision support under deep uncertainty

Kwakkel, J. H., Haasnoot, M. & Walker, W. E., 1 Dec 2016, In : Environmental Modelling & Software. 86, p. 168-183 16 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Open Access
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70 Citations (Scopus)
175 Downloads (Pure)

Coping with the wickedness of public policy problems: Approaches for decision-making under deep uncertainty

Kwakkel, JH., Haasnoot, M. & Walker, WE., 2016, In : Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management. 142, 3, p. 1-5 5 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Open Access
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83 Citations (Scopus)
284 Downloads (Pure)

Improving scenario discovery by bagging random boxes

Kwakkel, J. H. & Cunningham, S. C., 1 Oct 2016, In : Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 111, p. 124-134 11 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Open Access
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7 Citations (Scopus)
44 Downloads (Pure)

Improving scenario discovery for handling heterogeneous uncertainties and multinomial classified outcomes

Kwakkel, JH. & Jaxa-Rozen, M., 2016, In : Environmental Modelling & Software. 79, p. 311-321 11 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Open Access
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35 Citations (Scopus)
25 Downloads (Pure)

Prospects of modelling societal transitions: Position paper of an emerging community

Holtz, G., Alkemade, F., de Haan, F., Kohler, J., Trutnevyte, E., Luthe, T., Halbe, J., Papachristos, G., Chappin, EJL., Kwakkel, JH. & Ruutu, S., 2016, In : Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions. 17, p. 41-58 18 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Open Access
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77 Citations (Scopus)
18 Downloads (Pure)

Simulating endogenous dynamics of intervention-capacity deployment: Ebola outbreak in Liberia

Auping, W., Pruyt, E. & Kwakkel, J., 4 Jan 2016, In : International Journal of Systems Science: Operations & Logistics. p. 1 14 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Open Access
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5 Citations (Scopus)
45 Downloads (Pure)

The emergence of climate change mitigation action by society: An agent-based scenario discovery study

Greeven, S., Kraan, O., Chappin, É. J. L. & Kwakkel, J. H., 1 Jun 2016, In : Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation. 19, 3, 9.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Open Access
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7 Citations (Scopus)
21 Downloads (Pure)

The geopolitical impact of the shale revolution: Exploring consequences on energy prices and rentier states

Auping, W. L., Pruyt, E., de Jong, S. & Kwakkel, J. H., 12 Sep 2016, In : Energy Policy. 98, p. 390-399 10 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Open Access
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16 Citations (Scopus)
48 Downloads (Pure)
2015

Dealing with uncertainties in fresh water supply: Experiences in the Netherlands

Thissen, WAH., Kwakkel, JH., Mens, MJP., van der Sluijs, JC., Stemberger, S., Wardekker, A. & Wildschut, D., 2015, In : Water Resources Management. PP, 99, p. 1-23 23 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Open Access
19 Citations (Scopus)

Ebola in West Africa: Model-based exploration of social psychological effects and interventions

Pruyt, E., Auping, WL. & Kwakkel, JH., 2015, In : Systems Research and Behavioral Science. 32, 1, p. 2-14 13 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Open Access
18 Citations (Scopus)

Lessons for model use in transition research: A survey and comparison with other research areas

Halbe, J., Reusser, DE., Holtz, G., Haasnoot, M., Stotius, A., Avenhaus, B. & Kwakkel, JH., 2015, In : Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions. 15, June, p. 194-210 17 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

21 Citations (Scopus)

Shale gas and import dependency: a multi-method model-based exploration

Moorlag, W., Pruyt, E., Auping, WL. & Kwakkel, JH., 2015, In : International Journal of System Dynamics Applications. 4, 1, p. 31-56 26 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Open Access

Societal ageing in the Netherlands: a robust system dynamics approach

Auping, W. L., Pruyt, E. & Kwakkel, JH., 2015, In : Systems Research and Behavioral Science. 32, 4, p. 485-501 17 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

19 Citations (Scopus)

Using system dynamics for grand challenges: The ESDMA approach

Kwakkel, JH. & Pruyt, E., 2015, In : Systems Research and Behavioral Science. 32, 3, p. 358-375 18 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Open Access
36 Citations (Scopus)
2014

An exploratory analysis of the Dutch electricity system in transition

Kwakkel, JH. & Yucel, G., 2014, In : Journal of the Knowledge Economy. 5, 4, p. 670-685 16 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Open Access
11 Citations (Scopus)

An exploratory approach for adaptive policymaking by using multi-objective robust optimization

Hamarat, C., Kwakkel, JH., Pruyt, E. & Loonen, ET., 2014, In : Simulation Modelling Practice and Theory. 46, August, p. 25-39 15 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Open Access
53 Citations (Scopus)

Dealing with Multiple Models in System Dynamics: Perspectives on the Future of Copper

Auping, W., Pruyt, E. & Kwakkel, J., 2014, In : International Journal of System Dynamics Applications. 3, 4, p. 17-35 19 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Dynamic adaptive policies: A way to improve the cost¿benefit performance of megaprojects?

Yzer, JR., Walker, WE., Marchau, V. & Kwakkel, JH., 2014, In : Environment and Planning B: Planning & Design. 41, 4, p. 594-612 19 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Open Access
7 Citations (Scopus)

Fit for purpose? Building and evaluating a fast, integrated model for exploring water policy pathways

Haasnoot, M., va Deursen, WPA., Guillaume, JHA., Kwakkel, JH., van Beek, E. & Middelkoop, H., 2014, In : Environmental Modelling & Software. 60, p. 99-120 22 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Open Access
53 Citations (Scopus)

Radicalization under deep uncertainty: a multi-model exploration of activism, extremism, and terrorism

Pruyt, E. & Kwakkel, JH., 2014, In : System Dynamics Review. 30, 1-2, p. 1-28 28 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Open Access
27 Citations (Scopus)