A Global Study of the Risk of Earthquakes to IXPs

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Abstract

In this paper, we study the risk of earthquakes to global Internet infrastructure, namely Internet eXchange Point (IXP) facilities. Leveraging the CAIDA IXPs dataset and publicly available earthquake models and hazard computation tools, we find that more than 50% of the facilities have at least a 2% probability of experiencing potentially damaging levels of shaking, due to earthquakes, within a period of 50 years. Furthermore, we estimate that there is a 10% probability that at least 20 facilities will simultaneously experience potentially damaging levels of shaking within a period of 50 years. Fortunately, our analysis shows that IXPs that host many Autonomous Systems (ASes) tend to be located in less earthquake-prone areas, and that spreading out over multiple facilities significantly reduces the impact of earthquakes to IXPs. Following this observation, we propose a novel metric to help AS operators select peering facilities based on the probability of simultaneous facility failures. We show that applying our metric can significantly increase the resilience of individual ASes, as well as that of the Internet as a whole.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 2022 IFIP Networking Conference (IFIP Networking)
PublisherIEEE
Pages1-9
Number of pages9
ISBN (Electronic)978-3-903176-48-5
ISBN (Print)978-1-6654-8726-9
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2022
Event2022 IFIP Networking Conference (IFIP Networking) - Catania, Italy
Duration: 13 Jun 202216 Jun 2022

Publication series

Name2022 IFIP Networking Conference, IFIP Networking 2022

Conference

Conference2022 IFIP Networking Conference (IFIP Networking)
Country/TerritoryItaly
CityCatania
Period13/06/2216/06/22

Bibliographical note

Green Open Access added to TU Delft Institutional Repository 'You share, we take care!' - Taverne project https://www.openaccess.nl/en/you-share-we-take-care
Otherwise as indicated in the copyright section: the publisher is the copyright holder of this work and the author uses the Dutch legislation to make this work public.

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