A multiscale analysis of the stability of Caribbean coastal ecosystems through the biogeomorphic modelling of its complex bays and inlets

The Dutch Caribbean consists of two island groups, the Leeward Antilles off the Venezuelan coast separated from the Windward Islands east of Puerto Rico over distances of the scale of the Caribbean Sea itself. Climate change in the Caribbean Sea is predicted to lead to rising sea levels, warming waters and changing eddy fields. Warming waters lead to an increase in the intensity and occurrence of tropical storms and hurricanes, and are linked to an increased risk of surge flooding. Changing eddy fields are likely to affect the path of storm tracks. All of which further influence the environment of the Caribbean, and hence the stability of its ecosystems.