A network SIS meta-population model with transportation flow

Mengbin Ye*, Ji Liu, Carlo Cenedese, Zhiyong Sun, Ming Cao

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalConference articleScientificpeer-review

Abstract

This paper considers a deterministic Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) metapopulation model for the spread of a disease in a strongly connected network, where each node represents a large population. Individuals can travel between the nodes (populations). We derive a necessary and sufficient condition for the healthy equilibrium to be the unique equilibrium of the system, and then in fact it is asymptotically stable for all initial conditions (a sufficient condition for exponential stability is also given). If the condition is not satisfied, then there additionally exists a unique endemic equilibrium which is exponentially stable for all nonzero initial conditions. We then consider time-delay in the travel between nodes, and further investigate the role of the mobility rate that governs the flow of individuals between nodes in determining the convergence properties. We find that sometimes, increasing mobility helps the system converge to the healthy equilibrium.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)2562-2567
Number of pages6
JournalIFAC-PapersOnline
Volume53
Issue number2
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2020
Externally publishedYes
Event21st IFAC World Congress 2020 - Berlin, Germany
Duration: 12 Jul 202017 Jul 2020

Keywords

  • Meta-population networked models
  • SIS model
  • Transportation flow

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