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Alternative climate metrics to the Global Warming Potential are more suitable for assessing aviation non-CO2 effects

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Abstract

A growing body of research has highlighted the major contribution of aviation non-CO2 emissions and effects to anthropogenic climate change. Regulation of these emissions, for example in the EU Emissions Trading System, requires the use of a climate metric. However, choosing a suitable climate metric is challenging due to the high uncertainties of aviation non-CO2 climate impacts, their variability in atmospheric lifetimes and their dependence on emission location and altitude. Here we use AirClim to explore alternatives to the conventional Global Warming Potential (GWP) by analysing the neutrality, temporal stability, compatibility and simplicity of existing climate metrics and perform a trade-off. We find that using the temperature-based Average Temperature Response (ATR) or using an Efficacy-weighted GWP (EGWP) would enable a more accurate assessment of existing as well as future aircraft powered by novel aviation fuels
Original languageEnglish
Article number249
Number of pages9
JournalCommunications Earth & Environment
Volume5
Issue number1
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2024

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 13 - Climate Action
    SDG 13 Climate Action

Keywords

  • aviation
  • climate metric
  • Global Warming Potential
  • GWP
  • Average Temperature Response
  • ETS

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  • Ivar Isaksen ECR Prize

    Megill, L. (Recipient), 26 Oct 2023

    Prize: Prize (including medals and awards)

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