An evaluation of suitable methods to deal with deep uncertainty caused by the energy transition in ship design

Research output: Contribution to conferencePaperScientificpeer-review

Abstract

The maritime energy transition presents deep uncertainties that are difficult to deal with in the current ship design process. Even though other fields have stressed using adaptive strategies and explorative methods to deal with deep uncertainty, it is rarely included in ship design. Therefore, this paper compares three applicable methods to investigate how such aspects could support the design process. Each method is found to offer specific improvements to decision making, but no separate method meets the established criteria to the desired degree. The methods are found to be complementary, and by developing a combined method for ship design, ships can be better prepared to deal with deep uncertainty.

Original languageEnglish
Number of pages16
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2022
EventSNAME 14th International Marine Design Conference, IMDC 2022 - Vancouver, Canada
Duration: 26 Jun 202230 Jun 2022

Conference

ConferenceSNAME 14th International Marine Design Conference, IMDC 2022
Country/TerritoryCanada
CityVancouver
Period26/06/2230/06/22

Keywords

  • Adaptability
  • Energy Transition
  • Ship Design
  • Sustainable Fuels
  • Uncertainty

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