TY - JOUR
T1 - An integrated framework for anticipating the future and dealing with uncertainty in policymaking
AU - van Dorsser, Cornelis
AU - Taneja, Poonam
AU - Walker, Warren
AU - Marchau, Vincent
PY - 2020
Y1 - 2020
N2 - Policymakers need to make policies for an uncertain future, and policy analysts assist policymakers in choosing preferred courses of action. Despite a longstanding recognition that the futures field can contribute a great deal to policy analysis, futures work is not used to its full potential as an element of policy analysis. This is partly due to an absence of well-defined links between the fields and a common unambiguous typology. This paper proposes a framework for linking policy analysis, policymaking, and the futures field so that they can benefit mutually from a shared approach and tools. This integrated framework is intended to guide policy analysts on the appropriate use of futures approaches so that they can improve their analyses and contribute to better policies. At the same time, futures practitioners will be encouraged to align their approaches with the needs of policy analysts, thereby leading to increased uptake of futures work in policy analysis.
AB - Policymakers need to make policies for an uncertain future, and policy analysts assist policymakers in choosing preferred courses of action. Despite a longstanding recognition that the futures field can contribute a great deal to policy analysis, futures work is not used to its full potential as an element of policy analysis. This is partly due to an absence of well-defined links between the fields and a common unambiguous typology. This paper proposes a framework for linking policy analysis, policymaking, and the futures field so that they can benefit mutually from a shared approach and tools. This integrated framework is intended to guide policy analysts on the appropriate use of futures approaches so that they can improve their analyses and contribute to better policies. At the same time, futures practitioners will be encouraged to align their approaches with the needs of policy analysts, thereby leading to increased uptake of futures work in policy analysis.
KW - Futures field
KW - Integrated framework
KW - Policy analysis
KW - Policymaking
KW - Uncertainty
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85092019057&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.futures.2020.102594
DO - 10.1016/j.futures.2020.102594
M3 - Article
SN - 0016-3287
VL - 124
SP - 1
EP - 9
JO - Futures
JF - Futures
M1 - 102594
ER -