Coastal Impacts Driven by Sea-Level Rise in Cartagena de Indias

Andres F. Orejarena-Rondon; Juanma Sayol Espana; Marta Marcos; Luis Otero; Juan C.  Restrepo; Ismael Hernandez-Carrasco; Alejandro Orfila

doi:10.3389/fmars.2019.00614

Coastal Impacts Driven by Sea-Level Rise in Cartagena de Indias

Andres F. Orejarena-Rondon, Juanma Sayol Espana, Marta Marcos, Luis Otero, Juan C. Restrepo, Ismael Hernandez-Carrasco, Alejandro Orfila

Environmental Fluid Mechanics

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › Scientific › peer-review

27 Citations (Scopus)

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Abstract

This work analyzes the coastal impacts of the combined effect of extreme waves and sea level extremes, including surges and projected mean sea level rise in Bocagrande, Cartagena (Colombia). Extreme waves are assessed from a wave reanalysis that are propagated from deep waters to the beach considering the hydrodynamic processes and taking into account the interaction between waves and the coastal elevation within the study area. First, we consider present sea level, storm surges and waves affecting the area. Next, we analyze the effect of sea level rise according to a moderate (RCP4.5) climate change scenario for the 21st century (years 2025, 2050, 2075, and 2100). The most pessimistic scenario (year 2100) yields a percentage of flooded area of 97.2%, thus revealing the major threat that represents sea level rise for coastal areas in the
Caribbean Sea.

Original language	English
Article number	614
Number of pages	16
Journal	Frontiers in Marine Science
Volume	6
Issue number	614
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2019.00614
Publication status	Published - 2019

Keywords

Cartagena de Indias
coastal flooding
RCP4.5
run-up
sea level rise

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

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10.3389/fmars.2019.00614

fmars-06-00614Final published version, 16.9 MBLicence: CC BY

Cite this

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title = "Coastal Impacts Driven by Sea-Level Rise in Cartagena de Indias",

abstract = "This work analyzes the coastal impacts of the combined effect of extreme waves and sea level extremes, including surges and projected mean sea level rise in Bocagrande, Cartagena (Colombia). Extreme waves are assessed from a wave reanalysis that are propagated from deep waters to the beach considering the hydrodynamic processes and taking into account the interaction between waves and the coastal elevation within the study area. First, we consider present sea level, storm surges and waves affecting the area. Next, we analyze the effect of sea level rise according to a moderate (RCP4.5) climate change scenario for the 21st century (years 2025, 2050, 2075, and 2100). The most pessimistic scenario (year 2100) yields a percentage of flooded area of 97.2%, thus revealing the major threat that represents sea level rise for coastal areas in theCaribbean Sea.",

keywords = "Cartagena de Indias, coastal flooding, RCP4.5, run-up, sea level rise",

author = "Orejarena-Rondon, {Andres F.} and {Sayol Espana}, Juanma and Marta Marcos and Luis Otero and Restrepo, {Juan C.} and Ismael Hernandez-Carrasco and Alejandro Orfila",

year = "2019",

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language = "English",

volume = "6",

journal = "Frontiers in Marine Science",

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T1 - Coastal Impacts Driven by Sea-Level Rise in Cartagena de Indias

AU - Orejarena-Rondon, Andres F.

AU - Sayol Espana, Juanma

AU - Marcos, Marta

AU - Otero, Luis

AU - Restrepo, Juan C.

AU - Hernandez-Carrasco, Ismael

AU - Orfila, Alejandro

PY - 2019

Y1 - 2019

N2 - This work analyzes the coastal impacts of the combined effect of extreme waves and sea level extremes, including surges and projected mean sea level rise in Bocagrande, Cartagena (Colombia). Extreme waves are assessed from a wave reanalysis that are propagated from deep waters to the beach considering the hydrodynamic processes and taking into account the interaction between waves and the coastal elevation within the study area. First, we consider present sea level, storm surges and waves affecting the area. Next, we analyze the effect of sea level rise according to a moderate (RCP4.5) climate change scenario for the 21st century (years 2025, 2050, 2075, and 2100). The most pessimistic scenario (year 2100) yields a percentage of flooded area of 97.2%, thus revealing the major threat that represents sea level rise for coastal areas in theCaribbean Sea.

AB - This work analyzes the coastal impacts of the combined effect of extreme waves and sea level extremes, including surges and projected mean sea level rise in Bocagrande, Cartagena (Colombia). Extreme waves are assessed from a wave reanalysis that are propagated from deep waters to the beach considering the hydrodynamic processes and taking into account the interaction between waves and the coastal elevation within the study area. First, we consider present sea level, storm surges and waves affecting the area. Next, we analyze the effect of sea level rise according to a moderate (RCP4.5) climate change scenario for the 21st century (years 2025, 2050, 2075, and 2100). The most pessimistic scenario (year 2100) yields a percentage of flooded area of 97.2%, thus revealing the major threat that represents sea level rise for coastal areas in theCaribbean Sea.

KW - Cartagena de Indias

KW - coastal flooding

KW - RCP4.5

KW - run-up

KW - sea level rise

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DO - 10.3389/fmars.2019.00614

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JO - Frontiers in Marine Science

JF - Frontiers in Marine Science

IS - 614

M1 - 614

ER -

Coastal Impacts Driven by Sea-Level Rise in Cartagena de Indias

Abstract

Keywords

UN SDGs

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