Influence of Monitoring on Investment Planning of Flood Defence Systems

Wouter Jan Klerk, Wim Kanning, Nelle-Jan van Veen

Research output: Chapter in Book/Conference proceedings/Edited volumeConference contributionScientificpeer-review

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Abstract

Many flood defences in the Netherlands will have to be reinforced in the coming decades. Many dikes do not fulfill the safety standard due to geotechnical failure modes, largely due to epistemic, reducible uncertainties. . The Value of Information is a measure to indicate beforehand whether an investment towards reducing epistemic uncertainty is economically attractive. This paper investigates how reduction of the epistemic uncertainty in aquifer permeability might influence the Total Cost of a dike reinforcement, and the choice of reinforcement method. From the case study it is shown that the Value of Information from measurements strongly depends on firstly, whether the overall prioritization of investment for a larger dike segment is influenced, and secondly, whether the local reinforcement decision is sensitive to the parameter for which uncertainty is reduced.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 7th International Symposium on Geotechnical Safety and Risk (ISGSR 2019)
Subtitle of host publicationState-of-the-Practice in Geotechnical Safety and Risk
EditorsJianye Ching, Dian-Qing Li, Jie Zhang
Place of PublicationTaipei, Taiwan
Pages792-797
Number of pages6
ISBN (Electronic)978-981-11-2725-0
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2019
EventISGSR 2019: 7th International Symposium on Geotechnical Safety and Risk - National Taiwan University of Science and Technology, Taipei, Taiwan
Duration: 11 Dec 201913 Dec 2019
http://isgsr2019.org/

Conference

ConferenceISGSR 2019: 7th International Symposium on Geotechnical Safety and Risk
Abbreviated titleISGSR 2019
Country/TerritoryTaiwan
CityTaipei
Period11/12/1913/12/19
Internet address

Bibliographical note

Green Open Access added to TU Delft Institutional Repository ‘You share, we take care!’ – Taverne project https://www.openaccess.nl/en/you-share-we-take-care Otherwise as indicated in the copyright section: the publisher is the copyright holder of this work and the author uses the Dutch legislation to make this work public.

Keywords

  • Value of Information
  • flood defence
  • dike reinforcement
  • investment planning
  • Uncertainty handling

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