Influence of Monitoring on Investment Planning of Flood Defence Systems

Wouter Jan Klerk; Wim Kanning; Nelle-Jan van Veen

doi:10.3850/978-981-11-2725-0_IS4-10-cd

Influence of Monitoring on Investment Planning of Flood Defence Systems

Wouter Jan Klerk, Wim Kanning, Nelle-Jan van Veen

Hydraulic Structures and Flood Risk

Research output: Chapter in Book/Conference proceedings/Edited volume › Conference contribution › Scientific › peer-review

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Abstract

Many flood defences in the Netherlands will have to be reinforced in the coming decades. Many dikes do not fulfill the safety standard due to geotechnical failure modes, largely due to epistemic, reducible uncertainties. . The Value of Information is a measure to indicate beforehand whether an investment towards reducing epistemic uncertainty is economically attractive. This paper investigates how reduction of the epistemic uncertainty in aquifer permeability might influence the Total Cost of a dike reinforcement, and the choice of reinforcement method. From the case study it is shown that the Value of Information from measurements strongly depends on firstly, whether the overall prioritization of investment for a larger dike segment is influenced, and secondly, whether the local reinforcement decision is sensitive to the parameter for which uncertainty is reduced.

Original language	English
Title of host publication	Proceedings of the 7th International Symposium on Geotechnical Safety and Risk (ISGSR 2019)
Subtitle of host publication	State-of-the-Practice in Geotechnical Safety and Risk
Editors	Jianye Ching, Dian-Qing Li, Jie Zhang
Place of Publication	Taipei, Taiwan
Pages	792-797
Number of pages	6
ISBN (Electronic)	978-981-11-2725-0
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.3850/978-981-11-2725-0_IS4-10-cd
Publication status	Published - 2019
Event	ISGSR 2019: 7th International Symposium on Geotechnical Safety and Risk - National Taiwan University of Science and Technology, Taipei, Taiwan Duration: 11 Dec 2019 → 13 Dec 2019 http://isgsr2019.org/

Conference

Conference	ISGSR 2019: 7th International Symposium on Geotechnical Safety and Risk
Abbreviated title	ISGSR 2019
Country/Territory	Taiwan
City	Taipei
Period	11/12/19 → 13/12/19
Internet address	http://isgsr2019.org/

Bibliographical note

Green Open Access added to TU Delft Institutional Repository ‘You share, we take care!’ – Taverne project https://www.openaccess.nl/en/you-share-we-take-care Otherwise as indicated in the copyright section: the publisher is the copyright holder of this work and the author uses the Dutch legislation to make this work public.

Keywords

Value of Information
flood defence
dike reinforcement
investment planning
Uncertainty handling

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10.3850/978-981-11-2725-0_IS4-10-cd

IS4-10Final published version, 738 KB

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Klerk, W. J., Kanning, W., & van Veen, N.-J. (2019). Influence of Monitoring on Investment Planning of Flood Defence Systems. In J. Ching, D.-Q. Li, & J. Zhang (Eds.), Proceedings of the 7th International Symposium on Geotechnical Safety and Risk (ISGSR 2019): State-of-the-Practice in Geotechnical Safety and Risk (pp. 792-797). Article IS4-10. https://doi.org/10.3850/978-981-11-2725-0_IS4-10-cd

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title = "Influence of Monitoring on Investment Planning of Flood Defence Systems",

abstract = "Many flood defences in the Netherlands will have to be reinforced in the coming decades. Many dikes do not fulfill the safety standard due to geotechnical failure modes, largely due to epistemic, reducible uncertainties. . The Value of Information is a measure to indicate beforehand whether an investment towards reducing epistemic uncertainty is economically attractive. This paper investigates how reduction of the epistemic uncertainty in aquifer permeability might influence the Total Cost of a dike reinforcement, and the choice of reinforcement method. From the case study it is shown that the Value of Information from measurements strongly depends on firstly, whether the overall prioritization of investment for a larger dike segment is influenced, and secondly, whether the local reinforcement decision is sensitive to the parameter for which uncertainty is reduced. ",

keywords = "Value of Information, flood defence, dike reinforcement, investment planning, Uncertainty handling",

author = "Klerk, {Wouter Jan} and Wim Kanning and {van Veen}, Nelle-Jan",

note = "Green Open Access added to TU Delft Institutional Repository {\textquoteleft}You share, we take care!{\textquoteright} – Taverne project https://www.openaccess.nl/en/you-share-we-take-care Otherwise as indicated in the copyright section: the publisher is the copyright holder of this work and the author uses the Dutch legislation to make this work public.; ISGSR 2019: 7th International Symposium on Geotechnical Safety and Risk, ISGSR 2019 ; Conference date: 11-12-2019 Through 13-12-2019",

year = "2019",

doi = "10.3850/978-981-11-2725-0_IS4-10-cd",

language = "English",

pages = "792--797",

editor = "Ching, {Jianye } and Dian-Qing Li and Jie Zhang",

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url = "http://isgsr2019.org/",

}

Klerk, WJ , Kanning, W & van Veen, N-J 2019, Influence of Monitoring on Investment Planning of Flood Defence Systems. in J Ching, D-Q Li & J Zhang (eds), Proceedings of the 7th International Symposium on Geotechnical Safety and Risk (ISGSR 2019): State-of-the-Practice in Geotechnical Safety and Risk., IS4-10, Taipei, Taiwan, pp. 792-797, ISGSR 2019: 7th International Symposium on Geotechnical Safety and Risk, Taipei, Taiwan, 11/12/19. https://doi.org/10.3850/978-981-11-2725-0_IS4-10-cd

Influence of Monitoring on Investment Planning of Flood Defence Systems. / Klerk, Wouter Jan ; Kanning, Wim; van Veen, Nelle-Jan.
Proceedings of the 7th International Symposium on Geotechnical Safety and Risk (ISGSR 2019): State-of-the-Practice in Geotechnical Safety and Risk. ed. / Jianye Ching; Dian-Qing Li; Jie Zhang. Taipei, Taiwan, 2019. p. 792-797 IS4-10.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Conference proceedings/Edited volume › Conference contribution › Scientific › peer-review

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AU - van Veen, Nelle-Jan

N1 - Green Open Access added to TU Delft Institutional Repository ‘You share, we take care!’ – Taverne project https://www.openaccess.nl/en/you-share-we-take-care Otherwise as indicated in the copyright section: the publisher is the copyright holder of this work and the author uses the Dutch legislation to make this work public.

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AB - Many flood defences in the Netherlands will have to be reinforced in the coming decades. Many dikes do not fulfill the safety standard due to geotechnical failure modes, largely due to epistemic, reducible uncertainties. . The Value of Information is a measure to indicate beforehand whether an investment towards reducing epistemic uncertainty is economically attractive. This paper investigates how reduction of the epistemic uncertainty in aquifer permeability might influence the Total Cost of a dike reinforcement, and the choice of reinforcement method. From the case study it is shown that the Value of Information from measurements strongly depends on firstly, whether the overall prioritization of investment for a larger dike segment is influenced, and secondly, whether the local reinforcement decision is sensitive to the parameter for which uncertainty is reduced.

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BT - Proceedings of the 7th International Symposium on Geotechnical Safety and Risk (ISGSR 2019)

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Klerk WJ , Kanning W, van Veen NJ. Influence of Monitoring on Investment Planning of Flood Defence Systems. In Ching J, Li DQ, Zhang J, editors, Proceedings of the 7th International Symposium on Geotechnical Safety and Risk (ISGSR 2019): State-of-the-Practice in Geotechnical Safety and Risk. Taipei, Taiwan. 2019. p. 792-797. IS4-10 doi: 10.3850/978-981-11-2725-0_IS4-10-cd

Influence of Monitoring on Investment Planning of Flood Defence Systems

Abstract

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Bibliographical note

Keywords

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