Integral Failure Analysis of Pipelines in Flood Defenses

Anton van der Meer, Timo Schweckendiek, Henk Kruse, Harry Schelfhout

Research output: Chapter in Book/Conference proceedings/Edited volumeConference contributionScientificpeer-review

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The presence of pipelines in flood defenses presents a challenge for assessing the probability of flooding. To prevent costly structural measures compensating for the possible negative effects of pipeline failure, we developed a framework for an integral failure analysis of pipeline and dike failure. The assessment framework is based on an event tree with several scenarios or paths resulting in failure of the flood defense and subsequent flooding of the hinterland. The event tree allows us to combine the probability and consequences of pipeline failure with the failure mechanisms of the flood defense and the possibility of detecting and repairing the damage before a flood or other hydraulic loading. The framework has proven to be effective in preventing costly structural measures for a pipeline in the crest of a dike in Amsterdam.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 7th International Symposium on Geotechnical Safety and Risk (ISGSR 2019)
Subtitle of host publicationState-of-the-Practice in Geotechnical Safety and Risk
EditorsJianye Ching, Dian-Qing Li, Jie Zhang
Place of PublicationTaipei, Taiwan
Number of pages6
ISBN (Electronic)978-981-11-2725-0
Publication statusPublished - 2019
EventISGSR 2019: 7th International Symposium on Geotechnical Safety and Risk - National Taiwan University of Science and Technology, Taipei, Taiwan
Duration: 11 Dec 201913 Dec 2019


ConferenceISGSR 2019: 7th International Symposium on Geotechnical Safety and Risk
Abbreviated titleISGSR 2019
Internet address

Bibliographical note

Green Open Access added to TU Delft Institutional Repository ‘You share, we take care!’ – Taverne project Otherwise as indicated in the copyright section: the publisher is the copyright holder of this work and the author uses the Dutch legislation to make this work public.


  • Bayesian inference
  • backward erosion piping
  • field observations
  • model uncertainty


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