TY - JOUR
T1 - Jumping to a better world
T2 - An agent-based exploration of criticality in low-carbon energy transitions
AU - Kraan, Oscar
AU - Dalderop, Steven
AU - Kramer, Gert Jan
AU - Nikolic, Igor
PY - 2019
Y1 - 2019
N2 - Understanding the possible transition pathways of the energy system requires the integration of human behaviour in energy system models. In order to model the influence of actor behaviour we have developed ACT (Agent-Based Model of Critical Transitions), an agent-based model inspired by an existing conceptualisation of critical transitions. ACT allows us to depart from the current mean-field approach and explicitly explore the effects of heterogeneity, leaders, and networks on the transition. Two key finding are (1) the importance of local communities and (2) leaders can both encourage and discourage the energy transition; a finding that nuances existing literature on critical transitions. We conclude with a reflection on the strengths and weaknesses of our modeling approach.
AB - Understanding the possible transition pathways of the energy system requires the integration of human behaviour in energy system models. In order to model the influence of actor behaviour we have developed ACT (Agent-Based Model of Critical Transitions), an agent-based model inspired by an existing conceptualisation of critical transitions. ACT allows us to depart from the current mean-field approach and explicitly explore the effects of heterogeneity, leaders, and networks on the transition. Two key finding are (1) the importance of local communities and (2) leaders can both encourage and discourage the energy transition; a finding that nuances existing literature on critical transitions. We conclude with a reflection on the strengths and weaknesses of our modeling approach.
KW - Agent-based modelling
KW - Critical transitions
KW - Energy transition
KW - Simulation
UR - http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:095b20c7-9c0f-4757-8db1-869b9367cfb4
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85054175446&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.erss.2018.08.024
DO - 10.1016/j.erss.2018.08.024
M3 - Article
SN - 2214-6296
VL - 47
SP - 156
EP - 165
JO - Energy Research and Social Science
JF - Energy Research and Social Science
ER -