Abstract
Efficient planning of inspection and maintenance (I&M) actions in civil and maritime environments is of paramount importance to balance management costs against failure risk caused by deteriorating mechanisms. Determining I&M policies for such cases constitutes a complex sequential decision-making optimization problem under uncertainty. Addressing this complexity, Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes (POMDPs) provide a principled mathematical methodology for stochastic optimal control, in which the optimal actions are prescribed as a function of the entire, dynamically updated, state probability distribution. As shown in this paper, by integrating Dynamic Bayesian Networks (DBNs) with POMDPs, advanced algorithmic schemes of probabilistic inference and decision optimization under uncertainty can be uniquely combined into an efficient planning platform. To demonstrate the capabilities of the proposed approach, POMDP and heuristic-based I&M policies are compared, with emphasis on an offshore wind substructure subject to fatigue deterioration. Results verify that POMDP solutions offer substantially reduced costs compared to their counterparts, even in traditional problem settings.
Original language | English |
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Title of host publication | Proceedings of the 13th International Conference on Structural Safety & Reliability (ICOSSAR) |
Publication status | Published - 2022 |
Event | International Conference on Structural Safety and Reliability - Tongji University, Shanghai, China Duration: 13 Sept 2022 → 17 Sept 2022 Conference number: 13 http://www.icossar2021.org/ |
Conference
Conference | International Conference on Structural Safety and Reliability |
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Abbreviated title | ICOSSAR |
Country/Territory | China |
City | Shanghai |
Period | 13/09/22 → 17/09/22 |
Internet address |
Bibliographical note
Green Open Access added to TU Delft Institutional Repository 'You share, we take care!' - Taverne project https://www.openaccess.nl/en/you-share-we-take-careOtherwise as indicated in the copyright section: the publisher is the copyright holder of this work and the author uses the Dutch legislation to make this work public.