Nile Basin Scenario Construction

Bert Enserink; Abby Onencan

Nile Basin Scenario Construction

Bert Enserink, Abby Onencan

Policy Analysis

Research output: Chapter in Book/Conference proceedings/Edited volume › Conference contribution › Professional

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Abstract

The Nile river traverses eleven countries in Africa. It is the source of life for millions of people and its aquifers, tributaries, lakes, and surface waters provide valuable nature (wetlands), drinking water, hydropower and it provides large areas of arid soils with irrigation water. Rapid urbanization, overexploitation and the construction of dams are leading to changes in the water regime and affect the quality of the ecosystems services. A participatory scenario building exercise was held in Jinja Uganda in 2014. This approach resulted in four scenarios for the future of the basin presented to the Ministers at the Nile Basin Development Forum in 2015. In this paper the scenario method, the resulting four scenarios and their impacts are presented.

Original language	English
Title of host publication	IAIA17 Conference Proceedings Impact Assessment’s Contribution to the Global Efforts in Addressing Climate Change
Subtitle of host publication	37th Annual Conference of the International Association for Impact Assessment
Publisher	IAIA
Pages	1-6
Number of pages	6
Volume	17
Publication status	Published - 2017
Event	IAIA17: Impact Assessment’s Contribution to the Global Efforts in Addressing Climate Change - montreal, Canada Duration: 4 Apr 2017 → 7 Apr 2017

Conference

Conference	IAIA17: Impact Assessment’s Contribution to the Global Efforts in Addressing Climate Change
Country/Territory	Canada
City	montreal
Period	4/04/17 → 7/04/17

Keywords

Scenario development
Storytelling
Deep Uncertainty
Nile River Basin
Urbanization
Water scarcity
Nile Basin by 2050 Scenarios

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

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Enserink, Bert - Nile Basin Scenario Construction-1Final published version, 1.35 MB

Cite this

@inproceedings{49bbd7b22d3f4a9eb27d394fc2610b8a,

title = "Nile Basin Scenario Construction",

abstract = "The Nile river traverses eleven countries in Africa. It is the source of life for millions of people and its aquifers, tributaries, lakes, and surface waters provide valuable nature (wetlands), drinking water, hydropower and it provides large areas of arid soils with irrigation water. Rapid urbanization, overexploitation and the construction of dams are leading to changes in the water regime and affect the quality of the ecosystems services. A participatory scenario building exercise was held in Jinja Uganda in 2014. This approach resulted in four scenarios for the future of the basin presented to the Ministers at the Nile Basin Development Forum in 2015. In this paper the scenario method, the resulting four scenarios and their impacts are presented. ",

keywords = "Scenario development, Storytelling, Deep Uncertainty, Nile River Basin, Urbanization, Water scarcity, Nile Basin by 2050 Scenarios",

author = "Bert Enserink and Abby Onencan",

year = "2017",

language = "English",

volume = "17",

pages = "1--6",

booktitle = "IAIA17 Conference Proceedings Impact Assessment{\textquoteright}s Contribution to the Global Efforts in Addressing Climate Change",

publisher = "IAIA",

note = "IAIA17: Impact Assessment{\textquoteright}s Contribution to the Global Efforts in Addressing Climate Change ; Conference date: 04-04-2017 Through 07-04-2017",

}

Enserink, B & Onencan, A 2017, Nile Basin Scenario Construction. in IAIA17 Conference Proceedings Impact Assessment’s Contribution to the Global Efforts in Addressing Climate Change: 37th Annual Conference of the International Association for Impact Assessment . vol. 17, IAIA, pp. 1-6, IAIA17: Impact Assessment’s Contribution to the Global Efforts in Addressing Climate Change, montreal, Canada, 4/04/17.

Nile Basin Scenario Construction. / Enserink, Bert; Onencan, Abby.
IAIA17 Conference Proceedings Impact Assessment’s Contribution to the Global Efforts in Addressing Climate Change: 37th Annual Conference of the International Association for Impact Assessment . Vol. 17 IAIA, 2017. p. 1-6.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Conference proceedings/Edited volume › Conference contribution › Professional

TY - GEN

T1 - Nile Basin Scenario Construction

AU - Enserink, Bert

AU - Onencan, Abby

PY - 2017

Y1 - 2017

N2 - The Nile river traverses eleven countries in Africa. It is the source of life for millions of people and its aquifers, tributaries, lakes, and surface waters provide valuable nature (wetlands), drinking water, hydropower and it provides large areas of arid soils with irrigation water. Rapid urbanization, overexploitation and the construction of dams are leading to changes in the water regime and affect the quality of the ecosystems services. A participatory scenario building exercise was held in Jinja Uganda in 2014. This approach resulted in four scenarios for the future of the basin presented to the Ministers at the Nile Basin Development Forum in 2015. In this paper the scenario method, the resulting four scenarios and their impacts are presented.

AB - The Nile river traverses eleven countries in Africa. It is the source of life for millions of people and its aquifers, tributaries, lakes, and surface waters provide valuable nature (wetlands), drinking water, hydropower and it provides large areas of arid soils with irrigation water. Rapid urbanization, overexploitation and the construction of dams are leading to changes in the water regime and affect the quality of the ecosystems services. A participatory scenario building exercise was held in Jinja Uganda in 2014. This approach resulted in four scenarios for the future of the basin presented to the Ministers at the Nile Basin Development Forum in 2015. In this paper the scenario method, the resulting four scenarios and their impacts are presented.

KW - Scenario development

KW - Storytelling

KW - Deep Uncertainty

KW - Nile River Basin

KW - Urbanization

KW - Water scarcity

KW - Nile Basin by 2050 Scenarios

UR - http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:49bbd7b2-2d3f-4a9e-b27d-394fc2610b8a

UR - http://conferences.iaia.org/2017/final-papers/Enserink,%20Bert%20-%20Nile%20Basin%20Scenario%20Construction.pdf

M3 - Conference contribution

VL - 17

SP - 1

EP - 6

BT - IAIA17 Conference Proceedings Impact Assessment’s Contribution to the Global Efforts in Addressing Climate Change

PB - IAIA

T2 - IAIA17: Impact Assessment’s Contribution to the Global Efforts in Addressing Climate Change

Y2 - 4 April 2017 through 7 April 2017

ER -

Nile Basin Scenario Construction

Abstract

Conference

Keywords

UN SDGs

Access to Document

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Institutional Change through Social Learning: Climate Change Policy Gaming in Kenya

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