Nile Basin Scenario Construction

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Abstract

The Nile river traverses eleven countries in Africa. It is the source of life for millions of people and its aquifers, tributaries, lakes, and surface waters provide valuable nature (wetlands), drinking water, hydropower and it provides large areas of arid soils with irrigation water. Rapid urbanization, overexploitation and the construction of dams are leading to changes in the water regime and affect the quality of the ecosystems services. A participatory scenario building exercise was held in Jinja Uganda in 2014. This approach resulted in four scenarios for the future of the basin presented to the Ministers at the Nile Basin Development Forum in 2015. In this paper the scenario method, the resulting four scenarios and their impacts are presented.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationIAIA17 Conference Proceedings Impact Assessment’s Contribution to the Global Efforts in Addressing Climate Change
Subtitle of host publication37th Annual Conference of the International Association for Impact Assessment
PublisherIAIA
Pages1-6
Number of pages6
Volume17
Publication statusPublished - 2017
EventIAIA17: Impact Assessment’s Contribution to the Global Efforts in Addressing Climate Change - montreal, Canada
Duration: 4 Apr 20177 Apr 2017

Conference

ConferenceIAIA17: Impact Assessment’s Contribution to the Global Efforts in Addressing Climate Change
CountryCanada
Citymontreal
Period4/04/177/04/17

Keywords

  • Scenario development
  • Storytelling
  • Deep Uncertainty
  • Nile River Basin
  • Urbanization
  • Water scarcity
  • Nile Basin by 2050 Scenarios

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