Optimal testing using combined test statistics across independent studies

Lasse Vuursteen*, Aad van der Vaart, Botond Szabó, Harry van Zanten

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Chapter in Book/Conference proceedings/Edited volumeConference contributionScientificpeer-review

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Abstract

Combining test statistics from independent trials or experiments is a popular method of meta-analysis. However, there is very limited theoretical understanding of the power of the combined test, especially in high-dimensional models considering composite hypotheses tests. We derive a mathematical framework to study standard meta-analysis testing approaches in the context of the many normal means model, which serves as the platform to investigate more complex models. We introduce a natural and mild restriction on the meta-level combination functions of the local trials. This allows us to mathematically quantify the cost of compressing m trials into real-valued test statistics and combining these. We then derive minimax lower and matching upper bounds for the separation rates of standard combination methods for e.g. p-values and e-values, quantifying the loss relative to using the full, pooled data. We observe an elbow effect, revealing that in certain cases combining the locally optimal tests in each trial results in a sub-optimal meta-analysis method and develop approaches to achieve the global optima. We also explore the possible gains of allowing limited coordination between the trial designs. Our results connect meta-analysis with bandwidth constraint distributed inference and build on recent information theoretic developments in the latter field.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication37th Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems, NeurIPS 2023
EditorsA. Oh, T. Naumann, A. Globerson
Number of pages13
Volume36
Publication statusPublished - 2023
Event37th Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems, NeurIPS 2023 - New Orleans, United States
Duration: 10 Dec 202316 Dec 2023

Publication series

NameAdvances in Neural Information Processing Systems
PublisherNeural information processing systems foundation
ISSN (Print)1049-5258

Conference

Conference37th Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems, NeurIPS 2023
Country/TerritoryUnited States
CityNew Orleans
Period10/12/2316/12/23

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