Polder pumping-station for the future: designing and retrofitting infrastructure systems under structural uncertainty

Jos Timmermans*, Emiel van Druten, Marcel Wauben, Jan Kwakkel

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

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Abstract

In designing and retrofitting infrastructure systems, engineers are increasingly confronted by uncertainties about the future operating conditions of these systems, stemming from climate change or rapid socio-economic development. Particularly for long-lived capital-intensive infrastructure components like pumping stations, current engineering practices need to be complemented by structured approaches for designing infrastructures whose performance is robust to a wide range of possible future operating conditions. This paper presents multi-objective robust simulation as a viable approach. We investigate its applicability in a case study of the re-design of a polder pumping-station in The Netherlands. The research demonstrates the added value of multi-objective robust simulation in establishing robust design alternatives. The approach generates additional decision relevant insights into the performance of the pumping-station under uncertain future conditions while supplying decision-makers with the information required to make informed trade-offs amongst key design choices.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)222-238
Number of pages17
JournalSustainable and Resilient Infrastructure
Volume7
Issue number3
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2020

Bibliographical note

Green Open Access added to TU Delft Institutional Repository ‘You share, we take care!’ – Taverne project https://www.openaccess.nl/en/you-share-we-take-care Otherwise as indicated in the copyright section: the publisher is the copyright holder of this work and the author uses the Dutch legislation to make this work public.

Keywords

  • Climate adaptation
  • deep uncertainty
  • infrastructure
  • pumping station
  • robust decision making

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