Quantification of parameter and calibration uncertainty in morphological modelling

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There are different sources of uncertainty in morphological modeling on time scales of years. The standard deterministic modelling approach does not provide any information on the amount of uncertainty contained in a forecast. This lack of information could provide a false sense of accuracy and skill. Quantitative insight in these prediction uncertainties is therefore of crucial importance for decision making in coastal engineering and management.
Original languageEnglish
Number of pages1
JournalProceedings of the Coastal Engineering Conference
Issue number2018
Publication statusPublished - 1 Jan 2018
Event36th International Conference on Coastal Engineering, ICCE 2018: The Present State of the Art and Science of Coastal Engineering - Baltimore Mariott Waterfront Hotel, 700 Aliceanna Street, Baltimore, MD 21202, Baltimore, United States
Duration: 30 Jul 20183 Aug 2018
Conference number: 36


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