Safety Optimization of a Layered Airspace Structure with Supervised Learning

The capacity of the current system of air traffic is rapidly reaching a limit with the increasing demand for air transportation. Expected future traffic densities not only make automated conflict detection and resolution a necessity, but also force a re-evaluation of coordination elements to decrease conflict rate and severity. It has been acknowledged that airspace structure plays a positive role by acting as a first layer of conflict protection, reducing the likelihood of aircraft meeting and, consequently, the likelihood of conflicts and losses of minimum separation. In the recent past, different airspace structures have been explored. Research shows that the layered airspace concept, where groups of aircraft with similar headings remain separated by cruising at different altitudes, increases airspace capacity. However, implementation of this concept often employs an evenly distributed heading range per vertical layer, which is not optimal for all traffic scenarios, since it may lead to unevenly distributed numbers of aircraft per layer. In this work, we use supervised learning to determine a heading range distribution per layer adapted to the current traffic. This method resulted in a reduction of both conflicts and losses of minimum separation when compared to an evenly distributed layers concept. Results show that conflicts prevention, with a structure which efficiently segments aircraft through the airspace, may have a greater impact on safety than applying conflict resolution methods.