Scenario development for decision-making in water resources planning and management

Congli Dong, Nick Van De Giesen

Research output: Chapter in Book/Conference proceedings/Edited volumeConference contributionScientificpeer-review

2 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Scenario planning is a useful approach to deal with high levels of uncertainty when planning, developing, and managing water resources systems. Scenarios should highlight many possible alternatives in the future and each alternative future is not equally likely. Probabilistic scenarios are proposed. An example is given to demonstrate the process to generate the scenarios with probabilities, which indicates a promising new insight the technique may provide. Scenarios are able to inform the decision making process, conversely, be applied to test the robustness of strategies. Therefore, an interactive scenario-decision system can be built to support decision making process in water resource planning and management.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationISWREP 2011 - Proceedings of 2011 International Symposium on Water Resource and Environmental Protection
Pages928-931
Number of pages4
Volume2
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2011
Event2011 International Symposium on Water Resource and Environmental Protection - Xi'an, Xi'an, China
Duration: 20 May 201122 May 2011

Conference

Conference2011 International Symposium on Water Resource and Environmental Protection
Abbreviated titleISWREP 2011
CountryChina
CityXi'an
Period20/05/1122/05/11

Keywords

  • interactive scenario-decision making
  • probabilistic scenarios
  • scenario development
  • uncertainty

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