TY - JOUR
T1 - Consolidating backcasting
T2 - A design framework towards a users’ guide
AU - Kishita, Yusuke
AU - Höjer, Mattias
AU - Quist, Jaco
PY - 2024
Y1 - 2024
N2 - Backcasting has become a widely applied approach to address sustainability challenges when transformative changes are required. However, dispersed and contextualized knowledge of backcasting methodologies and practices needs to be systematized, codified, and synthesized to support researchers, commissioners, practitioners, and stakeholders in backcasting projects. In this paper, we address these issues by (i) concisely reviewing the evolution and current body of literature on backcasting and how this relates to other major types of futures and scenario studies and (ii) developing a design framework for researchers and practitioners that systematically covers all methodological choices with regard to key guiding questions to develop a backcasting methodology for a particular backcasting project. The developed design framework is based on four parts, characterized by the interrogatives when, which, how, and what, creating a comprehensive framework for describing a backcasting study.
AB - Backcasting has become a widely applied approach to address sustainability challenges when transformative changes are required. However, dispersed and contextualized knowledge of backcasting methodologies and practices needs to be systematized, codified, and synthesized to support researchers, commissioners, practitioners, and stakeholders in backcasting projects. In this paper, we address these issues by (i) concisely reviewing the evolution and current body of literature on backcasting and how this relates to other major types of futures and scenario studies and (ii) developing a design framework for researchers and practitioners that systematically covers all methodological choices with regard to key guiding questions to develop a backcasting methodology for a particular backcasting project. The developed design framework is based on four parts, characterized by the interrogatives when, which, how, and what, creating a comprehensive framework for describing a backcasting study.
KW - Backcasting
KW - Design framework
KW - Foresight
KW - Futures studies
KW - Sustainability transitions
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85187955757&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123285
DO - 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123285
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85187955757
SN - 0040-1625
VL - 202
JO - Technological Forecasting and Social Change
JF - Technological Forecasting and Social Change
M1 - 123285
ER -