A Next Step in Disruption Management: Combining Operations Research and Complexity Science

Mark M. Dekker, Rolf N. van Lieshout, Robin C. Ball, Paul C. Bouman, Stefan C. Dekker, Henk A. Dijkstra, Rob Goverde, Dennis Huisman, Deb Panja, Alfons A.M. Schaafsma, Marjan van den Akker

Research output: Chapter in Book/Conference proceedings/Edited volumeConference contributionScientificpeer-review

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Abstract

Railway systems occasionally get into a state of out-of-control, meaning that there is barely any train is running, even though the required resources (infrastructure, rolling stock and crew) are available. These situations can either be caused by large disruptions or unexpected propagation and accumulation of delays. Because of the large number of affected resources and the absence of detailed, timely and accurate information, currently existing methods cannot be applied in out-of-control situations. Most of the contemporary approaches assume that there is only one single disruption with a known duration, that all information about the resources is available, and that all stakeholders in the operations act as expected. Another limitation is the lack of knowledge about why and how disruptions accumulate and whether this process can be predicted. To tackle these problems, we develop a multidisciplinary framework aiming at reducing the impact of these situations and - if possible - avoiding them. The key elements of this framework are (i) the generation of early warning signals for out-of-control situations using tools from complexity science and (ii) a set of rescheduling measures robust against the features of out-of-control situations, using tools from operations research.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of CASPT 2018
Subtitle of host publication23-25 July, Brisbane, Australia
Number of pages19
Publication statusPublished - 2018
EventCaspt 2018: 14th Conference on Advanced Systems in Public Transport and TransitData 2018 - Brisbane Convention and Exhibition Centre, Brisbane, Australia
Duration: 23 Jul 201825 Jul 2018
Conference number: 14

Conference

ConferenceCaspt 2018: 14th Conference on Advanced Systems in Public Transport and TransitData 2018
Abbreviated titleCASPT 2018
CountryAustralia
CityBrisbane
Period23/07/1825/07/18

Keywords

  • Railway disruption management
  • Rescheduling
  • Complexity science
  • Operations research

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