Assessment of sectoral greenhouse gas emission reduction potentials for 2030

Kornelis Blok, Angélica Afanador, Irina Van Der Hoorn, Tom Berg, Oreane Y. Edelenbosch, Detlef P. Van Vuuren

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

2 Citations (Scopus)
22 Downloads (Pure)


The aim of this article is to provide an overview of greenhouse gas emission reduction potentials for 2030 based on the assessment of detailed sectoral studies. The overview updates a previous assessment that dates back more than ten years. We find a total emission reduction potential of 30-36 GtCO2e compared to a current-policies baseline of 61 GtCO2e. The energy production and conversion sector is responsible for about one third of this potential and the agriculture, buildings, forestry, industry, and transport sectors all contribute substantially to the total potential. The potential for 2030 is enough to bridge the gap towards emissions pathways that are compatible with a maximum global temperature rise of 1.5-2 °C compared to preindustrial levels.

Original languageEnglish
Article numberen13040943
Issue number4
Publication statusPublished - 2020


  • Bottom-up analysis
  • Emission reduction potential
  • Emissions gap
  • Energy production and conversion
  • Sectoral analysis


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