TY - JOUR
T1 - Cost-effective fire protection of chemical plants against domino effects
AU - Khakzad, N.
AU - Landucci, Gabriele
AU - Cozzani, Valerio
AU - Reniers, Genserik
AU - Pasman, HJ
PY - 2018
Y1 - 2018
N2 - The propagation of fire-induced domino effects in chemical plants largely depends on the primary fire scenario, on separation distances between the units, and on the presence of fire protection barriers. Passive and active safety barriers are widely employed to prevent or delay the initiation or propagation of domino effects. In the present study, a methodology has been developed based on Bayesian network to account for the impact of such safety barriers on the propagation of fire domino scenarios. The Bayesian network has been extended to a limited memory influence diagram in order to identify a cost-effective allocation of additional safety barriers to further mitigate the fire propagation. The application of the methodology has been demonstrated using a chemical tank farm. The results are in good agreement with the results of a graph theoretic approach developed in a previous study, proving the reliability of the developed methodology in cost-effective protection of process plants.
AB - The propagation of fire-induced domino effects in chemical plants largely depends on the primary fire scenario, on separation distances between the units, and on the presence of fire protection barriers. Passive and active safety barriers are widely employed to prevent or delay the initiation or propagation of domino effects. In the present study, a methodology has been developed based on Bayesian network to account for the impact of such safety barriers on the propagation of fire domino scenarios. The Bayesian network has been extended to a limited memory influence diagram in order to identify a cost-effective allocation of additional safety barriers to further mitigate the fire propagation. The application of the methodology has been demonstrated using a chemical tank farm. The results are in good agreement with the results of a graph theoretic approach developed in a previous study, proving the reliability of the developed methodology in cost-effective protection of process plants.
KW - Domino effect
KW - Fire protection systems
KW - Bayesian network
KW - Limited memory influence diagram
KW - Multi-criteria decision analysis
UR - http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:baf4344f-216d-4384-9830-60b1aa534317
U2 - 10.1016/j.ress.2017.09.007
DO - 10.1016/j.ress.2017.09.007
M3 - Article
SN - 0951-8320
VL - 169
SP - 412
EP - 421
JO - Reliability Engineering & System Safety
JF - Reliability Engineering & System Safety
ER -