Abstract
Debris-flow activity is expected to change in a future climate. In this study we connect a susceptibility model for debris-flows on a regional scale with climate projections until 2100. We use this to assess changes of hydro-meteorological trigger conditions for debris flows in six regions in the Austrian Alps. We find limited changes on an annual basis, but distinct changes when separating between hydro-meteorological trigger types and regions. While regions in the east and in the south of Austria may experience less days susceptible to debris flows in summer, there is a general trend of increasing susceptibility earlier in the year for both, rainfall-related and snow-related trigger conditions. The outcomes of this study serve as a basis for the development of adaption strategies for future risk management from this debris-flow hazard.
Original language | English |
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Article number | 05011 |
Number of pages | 3 |
Journal | E3S Web of Conferences |
Volume | 415 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 2023 |
Event | 8th International Conference on Debris Flow Hazard Mitigation (DFHM8) - Politecnico di Torino, Torino, Italy Duration: 26 Jun 2023 → 29 Jun 2023 http://dfhm8.polito.it/ |