TY - JOUR
T1 - Impacts of climate change on energy systems in global and regional scenarios
AU - Yalew, Seleshi G.
AU - van Vliet, Michelle T.H.
AU - Gernaat, David E.H.J.
AU - Ludwig, Fulco
AU - Miara, Ariel
AU - Park, Chan
AU - Byers, Edward
AU - De Cian, Enrica
AU - Piontek, Franziska
AU - Iyer, Gokul
AU - Mouratiadou, Ioanna
AU - Glynn, James
AU - Hejazi, Mohamad
AU - Dessens, Olivier
AU - Rochedo, Pedro
AU - Pietzcker, Robert
AU - Schaeffer, Roberto
AU - Fujimori, Shinichiro
AU - Dasgupta, Shouro
AU - Mima, Silvana
AU - da Silva, Silvia R.Santos
AU - Chaturvedi, Vaibhav
AU - Vautard, Robert
AU - van Vuuren, Detlef P.
PY - 2020
Y1 - 2020
N2 - Although our knowledge of climate change impacts on energy systems has increased substantially over the past few decades, there remains a lack of comprehensive overview of impacts across spatial scales. Here, we analyse results of 220 studies projecting climate impacts on energy systems globally and at the regional scale. Globally, a potential increase in cooling demand and decrease in heating demand can be anticipated, in contrast to slight decreases in hydropower and thermal energy capacity. Impacts at the regional scale are more mixed and relatively uncertain across regions, but strongest impacts are reported for South Asia and Latin America. Our assessment shows that climate impacts on energy systems at regional and global scales are uncertain due partly to the wide range of methods and non-harmonized datasets used. For a comprehensive assessment of climate impacts on energy, we propose a consistent multi-model assessment framework to support regional-to-global-scale energy planning.
AB - Although our knowledge of climate change impacts on energy systems has increased substantially over the past few decades, there remains a lack of comprehensive overview of impacts across spatial scales. Here, we analyse results of 220 studies projecting climate impacts on energy systems globally and at the regional scale. Globally, a potential increase in cooling demand and decrease in heating demand can be anticipated, in contrast to slight decreases in hydropower and thermal energy capacity. Impacts at the regional scale are more mixed and relatively uncertain across regions, but strongest impacts are reported for South Asia and Latin America. Our assessment shows that climate impacts on energy systems at regional and global scales are uncertain due partly to the wide range of methods and non-harmonized datasets used. For a comprehensive assessment of climate impacts on energy, we propose a consistent multi-model assessment framework to support regional-to-global-scale energy planning.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85088859933&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1038/s41560-020-0664-z
DO - 10.1038/s41560-020-0664-z
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85088859933
VL - 5
SP - 794
EP - 802
JO - Nature Energy
JF - Nature Energy
IS - 10
ER -
