Subscript-Based Geospatial Migration Dynamics

Patrick Steinmann, Stefan Wigman

Research output: Chapter in Book/Conference proceedings/Edited volumeConference contributionScientificpeer-review

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Between 2013 and 2015, over one million migrants entered Europe. Many European countries were unprepared for and overwhelmed by the rapidly unfolding, chaotic situation. To better handle future migration waves, and allow quicker exploration of government policy effects and interactions, a geospatial-based system dynamics model of migration flows across Europe was developed together with the national police of a major EU country. The model, built around subscripted data and vector operations, distributes migration inflows across the continent based on dynamic mechanisms such as societal stress, social group pull and country attractiveness. It is lightweight yet versatile, and is useful for exploratory, early-stage policy modelling, especially when investigating the system-wide effects and interactions of national migration policies.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 36th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society
Publication statusPublished - 2018
Event36th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society - Reykjavík, Iceland
Duration: 6 Aug 201810 Aug 2018
Conference number: 36


Conference36th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society
Abbreviated titleISDC 2018
Internet address


  • Migration
  • Refugees
  • Security
  • Public policy
  • Europe
  • European Union
  • Police
  • Geospatial
  • Borders
  • Subscript
  • System Dynamics
  • Exploratory
  • Modelling


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