Upscaling the porosity–permeability relationship of a microporous carbonate for Darcy-scale flow with machine learning

The permeability of a pore structure is typically described by stochastic representations of its geometrical attributes (e.g. pore-size distribution, porosity, coordination number). Database-driven numerical solvers for large model domains can only accurately predict large-scale flow behavior when they incorporate upscaled descriptions of that structure. The upscaling is particularly challenging for rocks with multimodal porosity structures such as carbonates, where several different type of structures (e.g. micro-porosity, cavities, fractures) are interacting. It is the connectivity both within and between these fundamentally different structures that ultimately controls the porosity–permeability relationship at the larger length scales. Recent advances in machine learning techniques combined with both numerical modelling and informed structural analysis have allowed us to probe the relationship between structure and permeability much more deeply. We have used this integrated approach to tackle the challenge of upscaling multimodal and multiscale porous media. We present a novel method for upscaling multimodal porosity–permeability relationships using machine learning based multivariate structural regression. A micro-CT image of Estaillades limestone was divided into small 60³ and 120³ sub-volumes and permeability was computed using the Darcy–Brinkman–Stokes (DBS) model. The microporosity–porosity–permeability relationship from Menke et al. (Earth Arxiv, https://doi.org/10.31223/osf.io/ubg6p, 2019) was used to assign permeability values to the cells containing microporosity. Structural attributes (porosity, phase connectivity, volume fraction, etc.) of each sub-volume were extracted using image analysis tools and then regressed against the solved DBS permeability using an Extra-Trees regression model to derive an upscaled porosity–permeability relationship. Ten test cases of 360³ voxels were then modeled using Darcy-scale flow with this machine learning predicted upscaled porosity–permeability relationship and benchmarked against full DBS simulations, a numerically upscaled Darcy flow model, and a Kozeny–Carman model. All numerical simulations were performed using GeoChemFoam, our in-house open source pore-scale simulator based on OpenFOAM. We found good agreement between the full DBS simulations and both the numerical and machine learning upscaled models, with the machine learning model being 80 times less computationally expensive. The Kozeny–Carman model was a poor predictor of upscaled permeability in all cases.