What is the market potential for on-demand services as a train station access mode?

Nejc Geržinič*, Oded Cats, Niels van Oort, Sascha Hoogendoorn-Lanser, Serge Hoogendoorn

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

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Abstract

On-demand mobility services (FLEX) are often proposed as a solution for the first/last mile problem. We study the potential of using FLEX to improve train station access by means of a three-step sequential stated preference survey. We compare FLEX with the bicycle, car and public transport for accessing two alternative train stations. We estimate a joint access mode and train station choice model. Estimating a latent class choice model with different nesting structures, we uncover four distinct segments in the population. Two segments (∼50%) with a lower Willingness-to-Pay seem to be more likely to take-up FLEX. Ex-urban car drivers seem to be the most likely segment to adopt FLEX, showing great, since members of this segment are currently frequent users of the private car. Our case study also shows that while FLEX competes primarily with public transport when accessing local stations, it competes primarily with car for reaching distant stations.

Original languageEnglish
Article number2179345
JournalTransportmetrica A: Transport Science
Volume20
Issue number3
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2023

Keywords

  • Access modes
  • latent class
  • on-demand mobility
  • stated choice
  • train station choice

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