Abstract
Currently, the dilemma and option zones’ failures are independently used to analyze the intergreen interval at signalized intersections. Therefore, the present research work is initiated to integrate these failures. First, the dilemma and option zones are modelled using the first-order second-moment method. Then, game theory is used to model the association between the dilemma and option failures. The failure probabilities of the dilemma and option zones are evaluated for various traffic conditions using Monte-Carlo simulation considering the Nash equilibrium. Next, the overall system probability is analyzed, based on the combined dilemma and option failures, given different intergreen intervals, speeds, and coefficients of variation. Finally, the study proposes a methodology for identifying the intergreen interval to limit system failure. This would aid practitioners in designing traffic lights at intersections and keeping proper intergreen intervals to limit the dilemma and option failures.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Article number | 04022014 |
| Number of pages | 9 |
| Journal | ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering |
| Volume | 8 |
| Issue number | 2 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 2022 |
Bibliographical note
Green Open Access added to TU Delft Institutional Repository 'You share, we take care!' - Taverne project https://www.openaccess.nl/en/you-share-we-take-careOtherwise as indicated in the copyright section: the publisher is the copyright holder of this work and the author uses the Dutch legislation to make this work public.
Keywords
- Signalized intersections
- Intergreen interval
- Reliability
- Dilemma zone
- Option zone
- Failure probability
- Game theory