Remote river rating in resource constricted river basins: Exploring opportunities for ungauged basins through low-cost technological advancements

The unavailability of consistent accurate river flow data is a significant impediment to understanding water resources availability, and hydrological extremes. This is particularly true for remote, difficult to access, morphologically active and therefore rapidly changing rivers. The state of global river discharge monitoring with respect to water infrastructure and frequency of data collection has been on the decline over the past few decades. This is despite the significant importance of these data for river flow predictions. Fortunately, rapid advancements in technologies open up possibilities for water resource authorities to increase their ability to accurately, safely and efficiently establish river flow observation through remote and non-intrusive observation methods. Low-cost Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) in combination with Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) can be used to collect geometrical information of the riverbed and floodplain. Such information, in combination with hydraulic modelling tools, can be used to establish physically based relationships between river flows and permanent proxies. This study attempts to monitor flow in volatile, dangerous and difficult to access rivers using only affordable and easy to maintain new technologies. This thesis consists of three main components: i) generating a workable framework for monitoring rivers using low-cost technologies; ii) establishment of river geometry using a combination of airborne photogrammetry and low-cost GNSS equipment iii) and physically based rating curve development through hydraulic modelling of surveyed river sections.

The first three chapters of this thesis provide an introduction in the form of a literature review, justification for the study and a description of the study area. In chapter 4, a framework is developed through an intensive review of traditional river monitoring processes. Uniquely effective and low-cost individual components are selected and placed within a framework. The ideal outcome is an interconnected framework which clearly presents the steps which are necessary for river monitoring in remote locations. The manner in which each critical step is related to the other is explained. Furthermore, the method by which modern technologies are assimilated into the method is described. Within the framework, critical thresholds are set up in order to signal the to the water manager whether the proposed model in its current state continues to perform as required.

Chapter 5 investigates how low-cost technologies such as UAVs in combination with low-cost GNSS devices can be used to generate river geometry for the purposes of application in a hydraulic model. Furthermore, performance of the open-source photogrammetry software substantiated the claim that, free and open-source available packages are capable of producing results which are as good as proprietary alternatives as shown by the RMSE analyses. A novel approach to generate a seamless bathymetry through merging and volumization was successfully tested. Results presented in this chapter encourage future studies to investigate the impact of variations in the number of Ground Control Points (GCPs) on discharge estimations in a hydraulic model with different hydrodynamic boundary conditions. This follow up was instituted in Chapter 6.

In this sixth chapter we accept that uncertainties in the data acquisition may propagate into uncertainties in the relationships found between discharge and state variables. This uncertainty prompts the need to understand the impact of varying geometries on hydraulic models. Specific attention is placed on variations caused by differing GCP numbers since the task of GCP placement is time consuming, potential dangerous and resource intensive in certain location and instances. We are successfully able to determine the minimum number of control points required to reproduce geometry. Overall, we successfully develop and test a workable method for water resources authorities to estimate river flows accurately through the application of advanced, low-cost technologies with minimal contact with measured variables.

The development and application of low-cost technologies for river flow monitoring has led to the following important conclusions:
• For the purpose of flow estimation, there is no need to use more than seven GCPs to establish accurate UAV-based geometry. Rather, it is more crucial to distribute the available markers to be maximally representative of the terrain elevations. Furthermore, it may be necessary to place more markers in close proximity to locations where one may expect the largest challenge for photogrammetry software (e.g.: water, thick forest/vegetation)
• In order to limit the impact of the “doming” effect on terrain geometry measurements, one of the most effective, yet easily implementable mechanisms is to measure a river line using Real Time Kinematic (RTK) Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) equipment. This data can then be used to correct the terrain post photogrammetry processing.